*********************************************************************** Product: Daily Forecast of Geomagnetic Activity Issued: 2026 May 15 03:55UTC Prepared by the Athens Space Weather Forecasting Center ***********************************************************************
I. Solar activity --Current Status Solar Flux (10.7cm) measured on 14.05.2026 at 23:00 UTC was 106 sfu. The background X-Ray flux is at the class C1.6 level. No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in available LASCO imagery on May 11-13. A coronal hole (CH1365) at southern hemisphere rotated across the central meridian on May 09-10. An equatorial coronal hole (CH1366) is expected to become Earth facing on May 12-15.
II. Solar Energetic Particle Events Protons and electrons fluxes are quiet.
III. Interplanetary and Geomagnetic conditions The solar wind speed measured by ACE satellite reached the max value 466 Km/s on May 14 at 07:05 UT during the last 24 hours. The solar wind speed from STEREO A was detected 400 Km/s during the last 24 hours. The vertical component of IMF Bz reached the max value -4 nT on May 14 at 22:10 UT during the last 24 hours. The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels during the last 24 hours. The Kp index now is at quiet levels with Kp=2.
IV. 3-day Geomagnetic Activity Forecast The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm (G1) levels on May 15-16 due to the effect of recurrent coronal hole high speed stream and at quiet to active levels on May 17.
Date
Ap index forecast
Geomagnetic Activity level
15.05.2026
30
Quiet to Minor storm (G1)
16.05.2026
25
Quiet to Minor storm (G1)
17.05.2026
15
Quiet to Active
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