*********************************************************************** Product: Daily Forecast of Geomagnetic Activity Issued: 2026 February 06 07:28UTC Prepared by the Athens Space Weather Forecasting Center ***********************************************************************
I. Solar activity --Current Status Solar Flux (10.7cm) measured on 05.02.2026 at 23:00 UTC was 176 sfu. The background X-Ray flux is at the class C1.4 level. Ten M-class solar flares were recorded on February 05. No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in available LASCO imagery on February 03-04. A coronal hole (CH1343) at northern hemisphere will likely rotate across the central meridian on February 05-07. An equatorial coronal hole (CH1344) will be Earth facing on February 06. ---CME arrival forecast A CME was observed on February 02 at 00:48 UT. This CME was expected to reach Earth on February 05 between at 03:45 UT and at 17:59 UT according to EAM predictions.
II. Solar Energetic Particle Events Protons and electrons fluxes are quiet.
III. Interplanetary and Geomagnetic conditions The solar wind speed measured by ACE satellite reached the max value 649 Km/s on February 05 at 20:35 UT during the last 24 hours. The solar wind speed from STEREO A was detected 400 Km/s during the last 24 hours. The vertical component of IMF Bz reached the max value -5 nT on February 05 at 10:40 UT during the last 24 hours. The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm (G1) levels during the last 24 hours. The Kp index now is at quiet levels with Kp=2.
IV. 3-day Geomagnetic Activity Forecast The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on February 06-07 and at quiet to active levels on February 08 due to effects from coronal holes.
Date
Ap index forecast
Geomagnetic Activity level
06.02.2026
12
Quiet to Unsettled
07.02.2026
10
Quiet to Unsettled
08.02.2026
15
Quiet to Active
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