*********************************************************************** Product: Daily Forecast of Geomagnetic Activity Issued: 2024 April 25 03:51UTC Prepared by the Athens Space Weather Forecasting Center ***********************************************************************
I. Solar activity --Current Status Solar Flux (10.7cm) measured on 24.04.2024 at 23:00 UTC was 199 sfu. The background X-Ray flux is at the class C8.9 level. Four M-class solar flares were produced on April 24 and the biggest was the M2.0. AR3637 erupted on April 24 at 22:59 UT peak time producing a M2.0 class solar flare and a radioblackout of category R1. No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in available LASCO imagery on April 22-23. An equatorial coronal hole (CH1215) was Earth facing on April 22-23.
II. Solar Energetic Particle Events Protons and electrons fluxes are quiet.
III. Interplanetary and Geomagnetic conditions The solar wind speed measured by ACE satellite reached the max value 457 Km/s on April 24 at 22:20 UT during the last 24 hours. The solar wind speed from STEREO A was detected 400 Km/s during the last 24 hours. The vertical component of IMF Bz reached the max value 2 nT on April 24 at 21:30 UT during the last 24 hours. The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels during the last 24 hours. The Kp index now is at quiet levels with Kp=1.
IV. 3-day Geomagnetic Activity Forecast The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with active periods on April 25-27 due to the effects of coronal hole high speed stream and several CMEs.
Date
Ap index forecast
Geomagnetic Activity level
25.04.2024
15
Quiet to Active
26.04.2024
15
Quiet to Active
27.04.2024
10
Quiet to Active
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