*********************************************************************** Product: Daily Forecast of Geomagnetic Activity Issued: 2020 February 16 04:53UTC Prepared by the Athens Space Weather Forecasting Center *********************************************************************** 1. Solar activity Solar activity was increasing during the past 24 hours. Solar Flux (10.7 cm) measured on 15.02.2020 at 20:00 UTC was 71 sfu. The background X-Ray flux is at the class < A1 level. The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels on February 15. No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in available LASCO imagery. The Kp index now is at quiet levels with Kp=1. 2. Solar Wind Geomagnetic Activity Solar Wind speed from ACE: 340 km/s. Solar Wind speed from STEREO A: --- km/s. Solar Wind speed from STEREO B: --- km/s. The southward component Bz is: 1 nT north. 3. Solar Energetic Particle Events Protons and electrons are quiet. 4. Coronal Holes An equatorial coronal hole structure (difficult to define the borders) will be in Earth facing position on 12-14 February. 5. Geophysical Activity Forecast The geomagnetic field is expected to be at very quiet levels on February 16-17 and at quiet to unsettled levels on February 18. Date Estimated Ap index Expected geom. storm 2020.02.16 02 - 2020.02.17 04 - 2020.02.18 08 - *************************************************************************** Athens Space Weather Forecasting Center Physics Department, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens Athens Neutron Monitor Station A.NE.MO.S Tel.: +30 210 727 6901 email: spaceweather@phys.uoa.gr URL: http://spaceweather.phys.uoa.gr ***************************************************************************